Hidden Methane Emissions, Tangible Economic Costs_Methane Emissions from Japan’s Imported Fossil Fuel Supply Chains: Lost Fuel Value and Heatwave-Related Climate Damages
research 2026-08-03
Gas Methane Coal Finance Issue Brief Coal Investment Policy

Hidden Methane Emissions, Tangible Economic Costs_Methane Emissions from Japan’s Imported Fossil Fuel Supply Chains: Lost Fuel Value and Heatwave-Related Climate Damages

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Methane is a potent greenhouse gas estimated to have contributed approximately 30% of global warming since industrialization. Given Japan’s high dependence on imported energy, methane management must extend beyond domestic emissions to include supply chain emissions arising from the production, processing, and transportation of crude oil, LNG, and coal. This report quantifies upstream methane emissions associated with Japan’s fossil fuel imports and translates them into lost fuel value and heatwave-related climate damage costs. Based on these findings, it outlines actions that companies and the government can take to reduce energy waste, supply chain risks, and broader social costs.

Executive summary


Japan imports most of the energy it consumes. Methane released during the production, processing, and transport of fossil fuels consumed in Japan also adds to global atmospheric concentrations. Methane management in Japan therefore cannot be limited to asking how much is emitted within its borders; it must also account for the methane emissions driven by Japan’s energy consumption across global supply chains.

This analysis estimates two dimensions of the economic burden associated with methane. First, using Japan’s 2024 LNG import price as a benchmark, it estimates the fuel value of methane released during fossil fuel production. As the principal component of natural gas, methane emitted to the atmosphere represents energy that could otherwise have been put to productive use. This is an estimate of the energy value and economic scale of wasted methane—not a claim about actual trading losses or fully recoverable revenue. Second, the analysis estimates the heatwave-related climate damage costs that methane emissions impose on Japanese society. Together, the two costs amount to approximately USD 3.29 billion (JPY 526.3 billion) per year.

To reduce this wasted methane, Japanese importers of oil, gas, and coal should first disclose methane emissions arising at the production stage. Companies and the government should then establish targets and standards for managing methane across entire supply chains. Finally, fossil fuel importers should require producers to implement methane-abatement measures. Japan has already helped launch the Coalition for LNG Emission Abatement toward Net-zero (CLEAN) Initiative to manage methane emissions associated with LNG supply. The next step is to translate this approach into procurement standards and corporate disclosure, and to extend it beyond LNG to imported crude oil and coal.

As summers grow hotter, Japanese companies and the government have an opportunity to demonstrate broader climate leadership.

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